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【XM Market Review】--USD/TRY Forecast: Will USD/TRY Break Lower?
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Review】--USD/TRY Forecast: Will USD/TRY Break Lower?". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
USD/TRY Trading Signals:
- Overall Trend: Bearish
- Preferred Timeframe: Short to Medium Term
- Suitable Strategies: Sell on corrections or wait for breaks of new support levels to enter.
Potential Entry Points:
Bullish Entry Points (Quick Scalps):
0.0250: Potential bottom and short-term technical rebound. 0.0235: Historical support level.
Bearish Entry Points:
0.0275: Nearby technical resistance. 0.0300: Significant resistance in case of a correction. 0.0320: Key reversal level if reached.
The Turkish Lira has experienced a notable decline against the US Dollar, with the pair continuing to record sharp decreases in recent periods. This reflects ongoing economic pressures on the Turkish economy, related to high inflation rates, declining foreign currency reserves, and inconsistencies in monetary policy. As the price approaches its lowest levels of the year, investors are increasingly focused on short-term expectations and identifying safe entry and exit zones.
TRYUSD Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
The TRY/USD pair is currently trading at 0.0258, registering a decline of -30.52% from its opening price, with a daily trading range between a low of 0.0255 and a high of 0.0391. Technically, the daily chart shows a descending channel extending over months, with sellers controlling the trend.
Technically, the price falling below previous important support levels reinforces the likelihood of a continued downward trend. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remain in oversold territory, which may suggest the possibility of a temporary technical rebound, but the overall trend remains negative unless the price breaks strong resistance at 0.0300.
Furthermore, the pair's failure to stabilize above the 0.0280 support level in previous sessions reflects weakness in buying momentum and opens the door for further declines towards new historical lows.
TRYUSD Price Weekly Expectations:
TRYUSD pair is expected to continue its movement within the negative range, with the possibility of testing support levels at 0.0250 and potentially lower during the week if pressure on the Lira persists. If an upward correction occurs, the price may reach 0.0275 – 0.0280 before resuming its decline. Stabilization below 0.0255 would push towards targets at 0.0240 and 0.0235.
Tips for USD/TRY Traders:
It is advised to exercise caution and avoid entering long (buy) positions unless the price shows clear reversal signals. Selling on any rebound with a strict stop-loss is a suitable approach in the current phase, given the strength of the downward trend.
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